Federal Ministry of Finance (BMF)

Five-point plan

You are Germany’s Finance Minister in 2025. Real GDP has flatlined (≈0.2% projected for 2025) and inflation is easing toward ~2%. Industry remains weak and energy-intensive output is still below pre-crisis levels, while wholesale power prices have fallen from 2023 but remain a competitiveness concern. Create a five-point, time-bound fiscal and growth plan that restores credibility and crowds-in private investment. Each point must specify: instrument, target group (Mittelstand vs. large industrials), timeline, expected GDP/TFP lift, and safeguards for the debt brake. Use current context: IMF growth ~0.2% (2025), ifo/AP government forecast revisions, industry softness, power prices ~€78–79/MWh in 2024 (-16–18% YoY). Include one measure that unlocks AI/productivity diffusion (accelerated depreciation or full expensing for software, automation, and AI skills). Cite metrics you will track quarterly (gross fixed capital formation, business investment, hours worked, AI job share). 
Rödl & Partner
+5
IMF
+5
Reuters
+5

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